New Predictions

Recent viewing of Sweeney Todd gives me doubts of its Best Picture chances especially after the SAG absence. Which also leaves Johnny Depp out of the #1 spot. Into the Wild moves up as a serious threat to unseat No Country for Old Men as the Best Picture of the Year. The DGA's will put more into perspective.

Best Actress looks to be solid, the only question being will Cate Blanchett be nominated for Elizabeth: The Golden Age. There are many actresses fighting for that fifth spot: Amy Adams, Keira Knightley and Laura Linney being the likely ones.

Supporting actor seems locked and loaded. The question flying around is will Philip Seymour Hoffman make the cut? Sure looks like it at this point. But who will upset? Travolta, Lee Jones, Dano, Foster, Von Sydow? I don't know. It depends if No Country is as strong as it seems or if There Will Be Blood make the cut.

Supporting actress is wild for me. I have chosen to keep Saoirse Ronan off and keep Vanessa Redgrave in her place. I think she's more likely to show up especially after Ronan missing SAG which should have been an easy get.

The rest, you need to see: Here is the top 10 of each category.

Best Motion Picture

1. Atonement
2. No Country for Old Men
3. Into the Wild
4. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5. There Will Be Blood
6. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
7. Juno
8. American Gangster
9. Michael Clayton
10. The Great Debaters

Best Director

1. Joel Coen & Ethan Coen-No Country for Old Men
2. Joe Wright-Atonement
3. Sean Penn-Into the Wild
4. Julian Schnabel-The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5. Sidney Lumet-Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
6. Tim Burton-Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
7. Paul Thomas Anderson-There Will Be Blood
8. Denzel Washington-The Great Debaters
9. Ridley Scott-American Gangster
10. Jason Reitman-Juno

Best Actor

1. Daniel Day-Lewis-There Will Be Blood
2. Johnny Depp-Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
3. George Clooney-Michael Clayton
4. Emile Hirsch-Into the Wild
5. Viggo Mortensen-Eastern Promises
6. Denzel Washington-American Gangster
7. James McAvoy-Atonement
8. Ryan Gosling-Lars and the Real Girl
9. Josh Brolin-No Country for Old Men
10. Frank Langella-Starting Out in the Evening

Best Actress

1. Marion Cotillard-La Vie en Rose
2. Julie Christie-Away from Her
3. Ellen Page-Juno
4. Angelina Jolie-A Mighty Heart
5. Cate Blanchett-Elizabeth: The Golden Age
6. Laura Linney-The Savages
7. Keira Knightley-Atonement
8. Amy Adams-Enchanted
9. Helena Bonham Carter-Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
10. Tang Wei-Lust, Caution

Best Supporting Actor

1. Javier Bardem-No Country for Old Men
2. Hal Holbrook-Into the Wild
3. Tom Wilkinson-Michael Clayton
4. Casey Affleck-The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
5. Philip Seymour Hoffman-Charlie Wilson’s War
6. Max Von Sydow-The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
7. Paul Dano-There Will Be Blood
8. Tommy Lee Jones-No Country for Old Men
9. Ben Foster-3:10 to Yuma
10. John Travolta-Hairspray

Best Supporting Actress

1. Amy Ryan-Gone Baby Gone
2. Cate Blanchett-I’m Not There
3. Catherine Keener-Into the Wild
4. Tilda Swinton-Michael Clayton
5. Vanessa Redgrave-Atonement
6. Saoirse Ronan-Atonement
7. Ruby Dee-American Gangster
8. Kelly MacDonald-No Country for Old Men
9. Marisa Tomei-Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
10. Jennifer Jason Leigh-Margot at the Wedding

Best Original Screenplay

1. Juno
2. Ratatouille
3. Michael Clayton
4. Lars and the Real Girl
5. Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
6. The Savages
7. Once
8. Knocked Up
9. American Gangster
10. I’m Not There

Best Adapted Screenplay

1. No Country for Old Men
2. Atonement
3. Into the WIld
4. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
5. Charlie Wilson’s War
6. There Will Be Blood
7. The Kite Runner
8. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
9. Gone Baby Gone
10. Away from Her